My local TD, or one of them, lives nearby so I regularly get a leaflet drop from him. He’s in the Labour Party, as it happens, and he’s a shiny new TD.
Anyway, today’s leaflet drop relates to jobs initiatives and for one reason and another, it irritates me.
Firstly, some time ago, the government announced a pension levy whereby 0.6% of the capital in most private pension funds would simply be taken and “used for jobs creation”. I consider this theft and what’s more, it’s causing me to seriously question the wisdom of providing for my old age if it’s all just going to be stolen from me by the time I get to retire. The age at which I will retire has also been increased such that if I’m lucky I’ll be able to retire at the age of 68.
Anyway, I let my local TD know that I considered it poor form on the part of the Labour party to stand over the taking of money from people’s pension funds and was told “no one said it would be easy and anyway, it’s for jobs creation”. Subtext, I’m over moaning.
My tax bill is gone up by at least 4K a year since 2006 and my disposable cash is vanishing. Not only that, because I don’t have a mortgage but do have a job no one ways for my accommodation. If I were unemployed, the government would be paying the interest on my mortgage for a year, or my rent. In any case, they are also looking at possible debt forgiveness for people who uhem, something something. Negative equity/heavily endebted. RTE Frontline had an argument on the subject last night. I didn’t watch it. I don’t have a television but this is the sort of thing that had the potention to make me rather angry.
So, today, leaflet drop from the Labour Party about jobs, and the need to create sustainable jobs. I’m not sure what the Labour Party considers to be sustainable jobs but I have some doubts that they actually know.
About the only one that looks even remotely promising relates to cuts in VAT to aid the tourism sector. The tourism sector has the potential to generate positive income for the country. This is actually important. Whether it will work or not is open to debate – getting people into the country isn’t necessarily VAT dependent but the country does have a perception problem. Expensive to get here, and expensive to holiday here.
I suspect a key improvement would be to reduce the overall cost of life here; this would benefit both tourists and the locals. I’m not sure VAT reductions will work directly on this respect.
Next up. 2000 jobs in a 30 million euro national retrofit plan. There’s a problem here – these jobs aren’t going to generate any export/invisible export income. It’s part of the Labour Green Jobs plan, something which I’m sure the Green Party would want to claim, except 30 million is kind of paltry. It will apparently create 2,000 jobs for out of work construction workers.
Retrofit jobs are not generally long term options so I can’t really consider this one to be sustainable per se.
Next up, broadband for all. Apparently Pat Rabbitte has commited to ensuring that all parts of rural Ireland will have access to broadband. He talks about next generation broadband which I assume – because the document is not clear – he has something in mind like NGB currently offered by Eircom.
I don’t deal with eircom but when they were offering me NGB, it topped out at 8Mb, at a time I could get 30Mb out of UPC. There are serious, serious problems with broadband in Ireland, particularly relating to last mile copper. There is no indication as to how they plan to make this available and all told, the paragraph relating to this just comes across as political bluffery. Until Pat Rabbitte tells me what broadband speeds are involved, I’ll just ignore this.
The minimum wage. It got cut and that is not nice, this is true. However, the cost of living in Ireland – particularly the cost of accommodation – is way to high and I’d prefer it if the Labour Party addressed that rather than just the minimum wage. They increased it back up to 8.65. I’m not convinced this counts as a job creation measure.
Lending to small businesses is apparently a priority and there are a couple of things in place here.
1) partial loan guarantee. Apparently 400M guaranteed by the State allows 4500 companies to get additional credit which will create more than 8000 jobs. I have absolutely no idea how that’s supposed to work.
2) Microfinance fund to provide funding for small loans to start ups. A lot of our brightest wind up going to Silicon Valley because we don’t fund start ups effectively here. It’s a Europe wide issue to some extent. Microfinance is not going to be enough. He doesn’t put a number on this either which I think is regrettable. It would be interesting to know how much money is going in this direction. 30million is going to retrofitting. Start ups may well have a lot more promise for sustainable economic growth and employment, so I’d like to know more money is going that way than to additional insulation, for example.
3) State will pay suppliers within 15 days of receiving a valid invoice. This is laudable.
Okay. More construction jobs following 40million investment in schools program, which means a few more unemployed construction workers off the rolls but no sustainable jobs and no export income. What happens when that program is over then?
Training and internship places – 21,000 of them. This is all fine and dandy but if they’re not followed up with real jobs then I’m not sure how we’re going to benefit long term out of this.
And another 2,000 jobs on roads investment, this time 75million. So more jobs but not necessarily sustainable and not directly export related.
What all this looks like is sticking plaster economics. It will get some people off the Live Register, but few of them are sustainable and some of the infrastructure plans look a bit superficial.
I’d like to see more money going into research and development – not mentioned – and a figure put on the start up microfinance fund. We have key infrastructural issues but appear to be using infrastructure to reduce unemployment – there’s a heavy emphasis on jobs rather than wider economic benefit. I’d like to see a more indepth plan for education going forward because that is where we’re going to make some progress in the knowledge economy. We need broadband as well but as I’ve already noted, the platitudes on broadband are short on detail.
I don’t want to sit here and be negative about all this. Everyone in the country knows we need new jobs. I’m just not seeing any vision on what these jobs are going to be. We have an army of construction workers who need either more construction or monumental retraining. But the retraining on offer tends to be on the scale of Fas courses and I’m not sure they’re goign to cut it for the long term future.
If I had a billion to play with, instead of playing with Live Register numbers, I’d start funding third level college more effectively for part-timers. Allow people to work part time for four years while taking high level fast tracking courses in the area of IT. Sponsor people to do this, if you like. And those courses would have to be targetted – I’m not talking about a dozen or so media studies courses – I’m thinking media studies courses beefed up with serious software engineering, for example.
I’d put around 400Million euro into a start up fund. I’m not sure who I’d get to run it – I don’t think we really have the expertise here. And I’d put 30million towards sponsoring ideas out of secondary school students. They have some ideas and it’s where microfinance might be useful.
If you get people generating ideas at a young age and foster those ideas, and foster the idea that failing is not an utter disaster, you might get our brightest to stay here, and we might get our own venture capital culture going too.
These are all ideas and their objective is to build for the future, not hide the mistakes of the past.